Saturday, March 20, 2021

Terms of the Times (2c): Long-term economic decline


The whole long-term problem of declining economic growth could be due to cost pressure that we overlook because we took the "cost-push" concept and flushed it down the toilet.

 - Arthurian



US Real GDP Growth Rate:

Source: Peterson Foundation

 

US  Real GDP per Capita:

Source: Gallup

 

US Real GDP Growth Rate (outside of recessions)

Source: Forbes (Raul Elizalde)


US Real GDP Growth Rate:

Source: My graph. Elizalde's Method

 

US Potential GDP Growth Rate:

Source: FRED data, Excel Graph & Trend

 

US Real GDP relative to Potential:

Source: FRED with Excel overlay in red

 

Fewer New Businesses:

Source: FiveThirtyEight

 

Less Expansion of New Businesses:

Source: FiveThirtyEight

 

 Total Factor Productivity:

Source: Robert Gordon

 

Gross Fixed Investment:

Source: Minneapolis Fed

 

 World and OECD Real GDP Growth Rates:

Source: Lumen Learning

 

G7 Real GDP Growth Rate:

Source: Gavyn Davies blog at FT

 

Eurozone Growth:

Source: Economics Help

 

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