Think so?
Open up Benjamin Friedman's 1986 paper "Increasing Indebtedness and Financial Stability in the United States"
Search for the word recession and read some of the sentences that turn up.
CNN, 9 January 2024, has Trump saying "I don’t want to be Herbert Hoover." CNN adds: "The US
stock market crashed during former President Herbert Hoover’s first year in office in 1929, which
signaled the beginning of the Great Depression." See my work on the Trump Depression
Think so?
Open up Benjamin Friedman's 1986 paper "Increasing Indebtedness and Financial Stability in the United States"
Search for the word recession and read some of the sentences that turn up.
The May jobs report came out today. The graph shows the number of federal employees since December 2021 (not seasonally adjusted). I cut and pasted the dates for December 2024 and May 2025, essentially the change since Trump returned to office:
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FRED Source Data (since 1939): https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CEU9091000001 |
The graph shows the number of federal employees falling from 3,020 in December 2024 to 2,950 in May 2025. But the units are "Thousands of Persons" so we are talking a change from 3,020,000 to 2,950,000 employees. That amounts to a decrease of 70,000 employees in five months, or 14,000 per month on average.
At that rate, all federal employees could be gone in about 210.7 months. That's 17 years, 6 months, and 21 days give or take, if they keep at it 7 days a week.
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Gaio reminds me that "The Federal Reserve (the Fed) returns a portion of its earnings to the U.S. Treasury" every year.
Reuters (March 24, 2023) says the Fed payment to Treasury was $76 billion in 2022 and $109 billion in 2021. Amounts like that would cover a lot of data-gathering cost at the BLS, if they just kinda bypassed the Treasury.
To do its job, the Fed needs economic data from BLS and other sources. How are they going to fight inflation if they don't get the data from BLS??? Seems to me if they need the data, they can justify spending those billions to get it, even if it takes most of the profits the Fed would otherwise have paid to the Treasury.