Monday, October 28, 2024

The Biden Inflation in Two Graphs

1. A Brief Timeline:

Key dates behind the Biden inflation

Friday, March 13, 2020: 313 days before the Biden inauguration
Wednesday, January 20, 2021: The day of the Biden inauguration
Thursday, March 4, 2021: 43 days after the Biden inauguration
Thursday, March 17, 2022: 421 days after the Biden inauguration

For Jerome Powell's inflation warning of March 4 2021 see the Wall Street Journal Jobs Summit video.


2. Following Milton Friedman:

The Quantity of Money Relative to Output (MRTO) and the CPI

Quotes below from Milton Friedman on the Quantity of Money and the Lag from mine of October 12, 2024:

From Tim Doescher at Heritage:

Milton Friedman famously said: “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon, in the sense that it is and can be produced only by a more rapid increase in the quantity of money than in output.”

From W. Lee Hoskins at Cato:

Friedman (1960) provided the well-known argument that attempting to stabilize the price level directly might in practice destabilize the economy because of the long and variable lag with which monetary policy acts on prices.

So I'm not quite sure how it got to be the Biden inflation.

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