Integrity

The article about coronavirus aggressive action was originally published by the
Center for Public Integrity, a nonprofit newsroom based in Washington, D.C.

From the Center for Public Integrity, Exclusive: White House privately warns 11 cities must take “aggressive” action against coronavirus

Dr. Deborah Birx, a leader of the White House Coronavirus Task Force, warned state and local leaders in a private phone call Wednesday that 11 major cities are seeing increases in the percentage of tests coming back positive for COVID-19 and should take “aggressive” steps to mitigate their outbreaks.

The cities she identified were Baltimore, Cleveland, Columbus, Indianapolis, Las Vegas, Miami, Minneapolis, Nashville, New Orleans, Pittsburgh and St. Louis.

The call was yet another private warning about the seriousness of the coronavirus outbreaks given to local officials but not the public at large. It came less than a week after the Center for Public Integrity revealed that the White House compiled a detailed report showing 18 states were in the “red zone” for coronavirus cases but did not release it publicly.

The article also notes "It’s unclear who heard the warnings and was invited to the call". That dampened my outrage. But it is good to see that the Center for Public Integrity has integrity enough to include the bad news in its report.

I wish Trump had that kind of integrity.

"Flu deaths drop in Australia"

From ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation): Flu deaths drop in Australia as coronavirus restrictions save hundreds of lives

Hundreds of Australian flu deaths have been avoided because of the lockdown measures used to prevent the spread of COVID-19, experts say.

The latest national statistics, obtained by the ABC, reveal from January to June 2020, there were just 36 deaths from the flu.

That compares to 430 deaths in the same period for 2019.

...

"What it's telling us is that many of the measures that are working to contain the spread of COVID-19 within the community are also very effective at reducing transmission of influenza"

...

"Australia is in the peak of its normal influenza season, but so are other countries like South Africa, New Zealand, Chile, and Argentina," Professor Barr said.

"They've all seen marked reductions in influenza cases so far this season."

Comparing the US and China

Warning: You can't have One Economy if you don't have One Government

Sadly, this warning comes a little late. But Bill Mitchell makes the same observation today:

All the prior studies of potential economic and monetary integration in Europe like the 1970 Werner Report and the 1977 MacDougall Report had concluded that the only viable architecture for a common currency would require a substantial ‘federal’ fiscal capacity, legitimised politically, by a properly constituted federal parliament.

"Trickle up"

Economic Recovery Proceeding But Virus Promises To Keep Growth Slow and Uneven, Tim Duy, 6 July 2020:

A wildcard in this whole situation is the expansiveness of the next fiscal support package. The generally positive data flow could lead to a less expensive fiscal package. Such an inclination would be a mistake. The expanded unemployment benefits in particular are providing critical support at the base of the economy and is almost certainly the reason retail sales and consumer confidence are holding up better than might be expected given the magnitude of the shock. It allows workers to cover their fixed costs, which includes paying the rent and mortgage. Think of it as “trickle up” policy.

As Tim Duy says, a less expensive, less expansive fiscal package "would be a mistake".

The second wave, the first time

From What Seattle Did Right, and Where New York Went Wrong, 1 May 2020 at Slate:

There is definitely going to be a second wave—we just know that that’s the nature of a pandemic. There is a mathematical certainty that as people start leaving their homes, as they start interacting with each other more, they will see a reemergence and a growth, again, of the coronavirus. And so what we should do is look to history: During the 1918 flu outbreak, in San Francisco, more people died in the second wave of infections than in the first. The reason why is, when the flu started spreading, officials said go into your homes and wear masks, and people listened. Things got better and started gradually reopening. Then a second wave began and the public health officials said, once more, go into your homes, wear masks. And people said they didn’t want to wear masks anymore. In fact, there were anti-mask riots in San Francisco.

You tell me

Link: The Graph at FRED