Turchin and Nefedov: Secular Cycles

The book, a gift from my son Jerry, a covid-delayed christmas present.

From the Table of Contents -- partial and in brief. I added "subchapters include":

Chapter 1: Intro

Chapter 2: Medieval England; subchapters include:

• The Expansion Phase
• Stagflation
• Crisis
• Depression

Chapter 3: Early Modern England; subchapters include:

• Expansion
• Stagflation
• Crisis
• Depression

Chapter 4: Medieval France; subchapters include:

• Expansion
• Stagflation
• Crisis
• Depression

 

You get the idea.

I'm in. I like the authors' use of the word "stagflation" to make our time and these earlier times thoughtfully similar. I like the repeating, four-stage business cycle format. I like these Turchin cycles, uh secular cycles I guess, obviously far longer than a business cycle or a kondratieff, but shorter than a Toynbee (two thousand year) cycle. Turchin's secular cycles fill a hole in my picture of cycles within cycles within cycles.

I'm in.