Could there be cost pressure that creates not recession but a continuing trend of decline?Note that a "shock" is a one-time event, rather than continuous. Relative price changes can resolve an imbalance created by a shock. But when you have a continuing cost problem, the price changes are endless and we call it "inflation".
It would have to be a long-term, continuing cost pressure, one that even if resolved today returns tomorrow.
Is it grasping at straws to say that there could be [such] a cost problem? Don't prices resolve that problem automatically when money growth is constrained? Isn't that what centuries of experience shows? No...
Prices can only resolve a continuing cost problem by rising: that is, by passing the problem on to the next guy.
CNN, 9 January 2024, has Trump saying "I don’t want to be Herbert Hoover." CNN adds: "The US
stock market crashed during former President Herbert Hoover’s first year in office in 1929, which
signaled the beginning of the Great Depression." See my work on the Trump Depression
Tuesday, February 4, 2020
Snippets: A Cost Problem?
From mine of 3 January:
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