Could there be cost pressure that creates not recession but a continuing trend of decline?Note that a "shock" is a one-time event, rather than continuous. Relative price changes can resolve an imbalance created by a shock. But when you have a continuing cost problem, the price changes are endless and we call it "inflation".
It would have to be a long-term, continuing cost pressure, one that even if resolved today returns tomorrow.
Is it grasping at straws to say that there could be [such] a cost problem? Don't prices resolve that problem automatically when money growth is constrained? Isn't that what centuries of experience shows? No...
Prices can only resolve a continuing cost problem by rising: that is, by passing the problem on to the next guy.
"The commonwealth was not yet lost in Tiberius's days, but it was already doomed and Rome knew it. The fundamental trouble could not be cured. In Italy, labor could not support life..." - Vladimir Simkhovitch, "Rome's Fall Reconsidered"
Tuesday, February 4, 2020
Snippets: A Cost Problem?
From mine of 3 January:
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